Joe biden vice president
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As brutal as the Times-Siena poll was, it still showed Biden running narrowly ahead of Donald Trump in a supposed 2024 rematch. There’s one other measurable factor affecting Biden ’24 to keep in mind. Biden’s supposed heir apparent, Vice-President Kamala Harris, who struggles with popularity issues similar to his, comes in seventh with 8 percent. Worse yet, the president is the second-choice candidate of just 2 percent of these likely Democratic voters. Biden wins just 16 percent, a point behind his Transportation secretary, Pete Buttigieg. With that in mind, it’s worth a glance at a University of New Hampshire survey released this week testing Biden against 15 other named Democrats among likely 2024 presidential primary voters. Assuming Biden doesn’t change his mind, a rival - or rivals - will have to emerge in order to push him out of a 2024 race. Still, it’s important to remember that you cannot beat somebody with nobody. But then again, there has never been a president as old as Biden, and there has also never been a president elected as a self-described transitional figure between political eras. There really isn’t any precedent for an elected president hanging it up as quickly as a lot of Democrats clearly wish Biden would do right now. And Carter fought off what initially looked like an unbeatable primary challenge from Ted Kennedy before losing the general election to Ronald Reagan. Gerald Ford battled Ronald Reagan all the way to the 1976 Republican convention, and then fought Jimmy Carter until November, before grudgingly leaving the White House. Harry Truman in 1952 and Lyndon Johnson in 1968 got bad news from the voters of New Hampshire before deciding to retire. But despite intermittent intra-party grumbling, there was never clear majority opposition to either man’s renomination, and in fact both avoided any sort of primary challenge.Įven sitting presidents who faced organized opposition to their renominations have universally waited for actual voters to weigh in before folding their tents or deciding to fight it out. And once the inhibitions associated with the natural loyalty of partisans to their chieftain begin to fade, it could get very dicey for the president’s renomination hopes.ĭefenders of the president will rightly observe that nearly every president in living memory has had a midterm slump or two, and that the two most recent Democrats who reached the White House, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, had calamitous, historic first midterms and still managed to get reelected two years later (Clinton won by a near-landslide). You could very well see the sentiment reflected among rank-and-file Democrats in these recent polls spread to party leaders and elected officials. Envision how Democrats will feel if they do very poorly on November 8, which is 12 days before the president’s 80th birthday. There’s just no silver lining in the numbers.Ĭan this Joe Must Go feeling in the rank and file of his party get worse? Sure it can. Sure, older folks like Uncle Joe more than younger folks, but even 69 percent of Democrats over the age of 45 want a different 2024 nominee.
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Seventy-eight percent of white Democrats want a new standard-bearer, but so do 73 percent of Democratic people of color. Liberals want a different nominee by a 78-21 margin, but so do moderates by a 72-28 margin. There’s not much ambiguity when you look at the poll’s internals, either. Now comes a CNN survey showing that 75 percent of self-identified Democrats want someone other than the 46th president heading up their 2024 ticket. But hey, many Democrats probably thought, maybe this poll is an outlier. When a New York Times/Siena survey came out earlier this month showing that 64 percent of self-identified Democrats wanted a different presidential nominee than Joe Biden, a frisson of fear could be felt in party circles, especially given the president’s apparent determination to run for another term.
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Photo: Chris Kleponis/Sipa/Bloomberg via Getty Images The president is not having a very good summer.